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The Pentagon is weighing a cut of 25,000 to 40,000 US troops from Europe, the largest since the 1990s, while Poland, France and Lithuania report a rising Russian threat.
Lithuania says it shares allied intelligence that Russia may stage an operation to blame another country. Latvia’s president says Russia is testing Europe with sabotage, cyberattacks and drones, warning many NATO states would struggle to stop a Russian missile salvo.
European intelligence indicates Russia is planning drone and missile strikes against one or several NATO countries on the eastern flank, potentially disguising them as “accidents” to test whether NATO will invoke Article 5. Officials warned late autumn and winter could be the most critical phase.
Greenland will remain part of Denmark under a planned US-Denmark-Greenland security deal, despite Trump claiming the US secured “permanent control.” The pact largely preserves or expands military access, basing and overflight rights the US has already held since 1951. Denmark retains sovereignty.
Fourteen days of scrambles over Estonia, Poland and Romania, a drone that flew 160 kilometres into Nato airspace minutes before Zelenskyy's aircraft took off, and the first shootdown over Lithuania
Congress appropriated $45.8 billion to buy weapon replacements from US manufacturers. Europe has already sent $4.8 billion to the US Treasury for weapons the US does not pay for.
Intelligence assessments place the possibility of a limited Russian attack on NATO somewhere between this autumn and 2029. The scenarios range from cyberattacks and sabotage to a small land incursion on the alliance’s eastern flank.
A US document asks NATO allies whether they support Trump's foreign policy, restrict US base use, and buy US weapons. Allies see it as a price for US protection, with answers feeding a review of troop and wartime asset cuts due by December.
Poland and the Baltics are guarding gas, power and dam sites over fears Russia may stage a false-flag drone attack to test NATO, after four years of sabotage across Europe.
