Intelligence
Russia hits Kyiv's bridges and sends NATO a nuclear warning: the week in global security
Weekly Global Intelligence Report, 28 September–4 October 2026. [Download the full report (PDF, 39 pages)]
Intelligence
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South Korea's Lee threatens Ukraine with "additional measures" over North Korean prisoner disclosure
Seoul says Kyiv broke a confidentiality agreement when Volodymyr Zelenskyy told the UN that two captured North Korean soldiers had been sent to South Korea. Lee Jae Myung also accused Ukrainian officials of talking up a war on the Korean peninsula.
News
Japanese lawmaker says Tokyo will open internal talks on arms for Ukraine after Kyiv visit
Onodera, a former Japanese defence minister, told RBC-Ukraine in Kyiv he will push for talks inside government on "further steps". RBC-Ukraine reported the talks would cover Patriot interceptors. His published quotes do not mention them. No Japanese ministry has announced a Patriot review yet.
Intelligence
War returns to Ethiopia as strikes replace talks in Ukraine: 19–27 September 2026
Weekly Global Intelligence Report, 19–27 September 2026. Download the full report (PDF, 47 pages.)
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Five years after the coup, Myanmar's resistance holds more than a third of the country as the regime bombs from the air
The general who seized power in 2021 now calls himself president, backed by Russian jets, Chinese drones and a hand-picked parliament. Kachin, Arakan and Chin forces and the People's Defence Forces are still fighting across the country.
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Fedorov, architect of Ukraine's Army of Drones, launches an Army of Robots to take Ukraine soldiers out of the line of fire
Ukraine's former Minister of Defence Mykhailo Fedorov, founder of Ukraine’s Army of Drones, has launched the “Army of Robots.” His goal: a humanoid robot in combat within 6 months and a Russian position taken without infantry within a year.
News
British defence firms get access to Ukraine's Avengers Labs to train drone AI on battlefield data
Ukraine is opening its battlefield AI training platform to a foreign partner for the first time. Up to 12 UK defence firms will train autonomous systems inside Avengers Labs.
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Pentagon weighs withdrawing up to 40,000 US troops from Europe as Russia threatens Eastern Flank
The Pentagon is weighing a cut of 25,000 to 40,000 US troops from Europe, the largest since the 1990s, while Poland, France and Lithuania report a rising Russian threat.
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Lithuania and Latvia warn of possible Russian attack, say threat level unchanged
Lithuania says it shares allied intelligence that Russia may stage an operation to blame another country. Latvia’s president says Russia is testing Europe with sabotage, cyberattacks and drones, warning many NATO states would struggle to stop a Russian missile salvo.
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Europe warns Russia is preparing strikes on NATO soil
European intelligence indicates Russia is planning drone and missile strikes against one or several NATO countries on the eastern flank, potentially disguising them as “accidents” to test whether NATO will invoke Article 5. Officials warned late autumn and winter could be the most critical phase.
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Nato jets battle Russian drones over Europe as eastern-flank incursions escalate
Fourteen days of scrambles over Estonia, Poland and Romania, a drone that flew 160 kilometres into Nato airspace minutes before Zelenskyy's aircraft took off, and the first shootdown over Lithuania
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Finland joins France's nuclear deterrence initiative as U.S. guarantee recedes
Finland became the 10th state in France's forward nuclear deterrence initiative on 14 September, an arrangement outside NATO and U.S. control.
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Canada and Ukraine sign historic 100-year partnership, new drone era begins
Mark Carney and Volodymyr Zelenskyy signed a 100-year partnership declaration in Calgary on 10 September 2026, committing Canada to send one-third of its future drone production to Ukraine. Canada has set a two-year target of millions of drones, backed by $50 million in first contracts.
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Canada and Poland sign defence pact, deepening military cooperation with Europe
Canada and Poland renewed their Defence Cooperation Agreement at Kielce, covering Arctic training, joint exercises and Polish drone sales to Canada.
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Russia has 40 North Korean missiles aimed at Ukraine and is pressing Kim Jong Un for 80 more
North Korea continues supplying Russia with missiles, ammunition and troops to use against Ukraine and the rest of Europe despite UN sanctions.