Intelligence
War returns to Ethiopia as strikes replace talks in Ukraine: 19–27 September 2026
Weekly Global Intelligence Report, 19–27 September 2026. Download the full report (PDF, 47 pages.)
Intelligence
Five men held on suspicion of preparing terrorist acts after vans reported heading for US bomber base at RAF Fairford
Armed police arrested the men in Whelford shortly after midnight on 27 September, about 85 households were moved out and an Army bomb disposal team examined three white vans near the Gloucestershire airfield US bombers have used for strikes on Iran since March.
Intelligence
Russia suspected in Starlink arson as Europe braces for a 'disguised' strike
Polish prosecutors suspect Russian special services of the arson at a Starlink station serving Ukraine's army, as Denmark rates a limited Russian attack on NATO a low but growing risk and NATO, the U.S. and Estonia say none is imminent.
Intelligence
Five years after the coup, Myanmar's resistance holds more than a third of the country as the regime bombs from the air
The general who seized power in 2021 now calls himself president, backed by Russian jets, Chinese drones and a hand-picked parliament. Kachin, Arakan and Chin forces and the People's Defence Forces are still fighting across the country.
Intelligence
Russia has fired 2,100 missiles (950 of them ballistic) and 63,000 attack drones at Ukraine this year
At the UN General Assembly on 23 September 2026, Zelensky said Russia had used more than 2,100 missiles (950 of them ballistic) and 63,000 attack drones against Ukraine this year.
Intelligence
New York Times sources back Haaretz report that UAE president warned Netanyahu before 7 October Massacre
Five former senior Israeli officials told the Times the warning never reached Israel's security chiefs. Netanyahu denies the call and has ordered lawyers to sue Haaretz.
Intelligence
Russia fired 655 drones and more than 20 missiles at civilians in Ukraine in three nights
Russia launched 655 drones and 20-plus missiles at Ukraine from 21 to 24 September, terrorising civilians in Dnipro, Kharkiv, Donetsk, Kyiv and Odesa.
Intelligence
Syria President Al-Sharaa tells UN Israel has attacked Syria 500 times since Assad regime defeated
Al-Sharaa told the UN Israel carried out 500 strikes and 1,200 incursions in Syria since Assad fell, and said the Golan will remain Syrian.
Intelligence
Iran's president tells UN his country won't bow to Trump's annihilation threats
Iran's president held up photographs of children killed in the Minab school strike a day after Trump threatened annihilation, as the first US-Iran contact since the June deal collapsed
Intelligence
Zelenskyy offers Russia a mutual halt to energy strikes, asks Trump for Patriots
Zelenskyy offered to stop hitting Russian refineries if Russia spares Ukraine's grid and asked Trump for Patriots now against German deliveries in 2027.
Intelligence
Pentagon weighs withdrawing up to 40,000 US troops from Europe as Russia threatens Eastern Flank
The Pentagon is weighing a cut of 25,000 to 40,000 US troops from Europe, the largest since the 1990s, while Poland, France and Lithuania report a rising Russian threat.
Intelligence
Lithuania and Latvia warn of possible Russian attack, say threat level unchanged
Lithuania says it shares allied intelligence that Russia may stage an operation to blame another country. Latvia’s president says Russia is testing Europe with sabotage, cyberattacks and drones, warning many NATO states would struggle to stop a Russian missile salvo.
Intelligence
Europe warns Russia is preparing strikes on NATO soil
European intelligence indicates Russia is planning drone and missile strikes against one or several NATO countries on the eastern flank, potentially disguising them as “accidents” to test whether NATO will invoke Article 5. Officials warned late autumn and winter could be the most critical phase.
Intelligence
Denmark & Greenland defeat Trump takeover bid. US settles for military access it largely already had
Greenland will remain part of Denmark under a planned US-Denmark-Greenland security deal, despite Trump claiming the US secured “permanent control.” The pact largely preserves or expands military access, basing and overflight rights the US has already held since 1951. Denmark retains sovereignty.
Intelligence
Nato jets battle Russian drones over Europe as eastern-flank incursions escalate
Fourteen days of scrambles over Estonia, Poland and Romania, a drone that flew 160 kilometres into Nato airspace minutes before Zelenskyy's aircraft took off, and the first shootdown over Lithuania